Uncle Sam Dumps the Kurds (Yet Again)
The Saker • January 26, 2018
The
drama which is unfolding in northern Syria is truly an almost ideal
case to fully assess how weak and totally dysfunctional the AngloZionist
Empire has really become. Let’s begin with a quick reminder.
The US-Israeli goals in Syria were really very simple. As I have already mentioned in a past article,
the initial AngloZionist plan was to overthrow Assad and replace him
with the Takfiri crazies (Daesh, al-Qaeda, al-Nusra, ISIS – call them
whatever you want). Doing this would achieve the following goals:
- Bring down a strong secular Arab state along with its political structure, armed forces and security services.
- Create total chaos and horror in Syria justifying the creation of a “security zone” by Israel not only in the Golan, but further north.
- Trigger a civil war in Lebanon by unleashing the Takfiri crazies against Hezbollah.
- Let the Takfiris and Hezbollah bleed each other to death, then create a “security zone”, but this time in Lebanon.
- Prevent the creation of a Shia axis Iran-Iraq-Syria-Lebanon.
- Breakup Syria along ethnic and religious lines.
- Create a Kurdistan which could then be used against Turkey, Syria, Iraq and Iran.
- Make it possible for Israel to become the uncontested power broker in the Middle-East and forces the KSA, Qatar, Oman, Kuwait and all others to have to go to Israel for any gas or oil pipeline project.
- Gradually isolate, threaten, subvert and eventually attack Iran with a wide regional coalition of forces.
- Eliminate all center of Shia power in the Middle-East.
With
the joint Russian-Iranian military intervention, this plan completely
collapsed. For a while, the USA tried to break up Syria under various
scenarios, but the way the Russian Aerospace forces hammered all the
“good terrorists” eventually convinced the AngloZionists that this would
not work.
The
single biggest problem for the Empire is that while it has plenty of
firepower in the region (and worldwide), it cannot deploy any “boots on
the ground”. Being the Empire’s boots on the ground was, in fact, the
role the AngloZionists had assigned to the Takfiri crazies (aka
Daesh/IS/ISIS/al-Qaeda/al-Nusra/etc/), but that plan failed. The only US
allies left in the region are Israel and Saudi Arabia. The problem with
them is that, just like the USA themselves, these countries do not have
ground forces capable of actually deploying inside Syria and taking on
not only the Syrian military, but the much more capable Iranian and
Hezbollah forces. Murdering civilians is really the only thing the
Israelis and Saudis are expert in, at least on the ground (in the skies
the Israeli Air Force is a very good one). Enter the Kurds.
The
AngloZionist wanted to use the Kurds just like NATO had used the KLA in
Kosovo: as a ground force which could be supported by US/NATO and maybe
even Israeli airpower. Unlike the Israelis and Saudis, the Kurds are a
relatively competent ground force (albeit not one able to take on, say,
Turkey or Iran).
The folks at the Pentagon had already tried something similar last year when they attempted to create a sovereign Kurdistan in Iraq by means of a referendum.
The Iraqis, with some likely help from Iran, immediately put an end to
this nonsense and the entire exercise was a pathetic “flop”.
Which
immediately begs to obvious question: are the Americans even capable of
learning from their mistakes? What in the world were they thinking when
they announced the creation of 30’000 strong Syrian Border Security
Force (BSF) (so called to give the illusion that protecting Syria’s
border was the plan, not the partition Syria)? The real goal was, as
always, to put pressure on Turkey, Iran, Iraq, Syria and Russia while
grabbing a lot of oil. As always with Uncle Shmuel, the entire plan had
no UNSC authorization was thus totally illegal under international law
(as is the presence of the USA in the Syria’s airspace and territory,
but nobody cares any more) .
Did
Trump and his generals really think that Turkey, Iran, Syria and Russia
would accept a US protectorate in Syria masquerading as an “independent
Kurdistan” and do nothing about it? Yet again, and I know this sound
hard to believe, but I think that this is yet another strong indication
that the Empire is run by stupid and ignorant people whose brain and
education simply do not allow them to grasp even the basic dynamics in
the region of four planet there are interfering with.
Whatever
may be the case the Turks reacted exactly as everybody thought: the
Turkish Chief of Staff jumped into an airplane, flew to Moscow, met with
top Russian generals (including Minister of Defense Shoigu) and clearly
got a “go ahead” from Moscow: not only were the Turkish airplanes
flying over Syria’s Afrin province not challenged by Russian air defense
systems (which have ample coverage in this region), but the Russians
also helpfully withdrew their military personnel from the region lest
any Russian get hurt. Sergei Lavrov deplored it all, as he had to, but
it was clear to all that Turkey had the Russian backing for this
operation. I would add that I am pretty sure that the Iranians were also
consulted (maybe at the same meeting in Moscow?) to avoid any
misunderstandings as there is little love lost between Ankara and
Tehran.
What
about the Kurds? Well, how do I say that nicely? Let’s just say that
what they did was not very smart. That’s putting it very, very mildly.
The Russians gave them a golden deal: accept large autonomy in Syria,
come to the National Dialog Congress to take place in Sochi, we will
make your case before the (always reluctant) Syrians, Iranians and Turks
and we will even give you money to help you develop your oil
production. But no, the Kurds chose to believe in the hot air coming
from Washington and when the Turks attacked that is all the Kurds got
from Washington: hot air.
In fact, it is pretty clear that the US Americans have, yet again, betrayed an ally: Tillerson has now “greenlighted” a 30km safe zone in Syria
(as if anybody was asking for his opinion, nevermind permission!). Take
a look at this simple map of the Afrin region and look what 50 miles
(about 80km) look like. You can immediately see that this 30km “safe
zone” means: the end of any Kurdish aspirations to created a little
independent Kurdistan in northern Syria.
To
say that all these developments make the Russians really happy is not
an exaggeration. It is especially sweet for the Russians to see that
they did not even have to do much, that this ugly mess of a disaster for
the USA was entirely self-inflicted. What can be sweeter than that?
Let’s look at it all from the Russian point of view:
First,
this situation further puts Turkey (a US ally and NATO member) on a
collision course with the US/NATO/EU. And Turkey is not ‘just’ a NATO
ally, like Denmark or Italy. Turkey is the key to the eastern
Mediterranean and the entire Middle-East (well, one of them at least).
Also, Turkey has a huge potential to be a painful thorn in the southern
‘belly’ of Russia so it is really crucial for Russia to keep Uncle Sam
and the Israelis as far away from Turkey as possible. Having said that,
nobody in Russia harbors *any *illusions about Turkey and/or Erdogan.
Turkey will always be a problematic neighbor for Russia (the two
countries already fought 12 wars!!!). But there is a big difference
between “bad” and “worse”. Considering that in a not too distant past
Turkey shot down a Russian aircraft over Syria, financed, trained and
supported “good terrorists” in Syria, was deeply involved in the Tatar
separatist movement in Crimea, and was the main rear base for the Wahabi
terrorists in Chechia for well over a decade, “worse” in the case of
Turkey can be much, much worse than “bad” is today.
Second,
these developments have clearly brought Turkey into an even closer
cooperative dynamic with Russia and Iran, something which Russia very
much desires. Turkey by itself is much more of a potential problem than a
Turkey which partners up with Russia and Iran (ideally with Syria too,
but considering the animosity between the two countries and their
leaders that is something for the distant future, at least for the time
being). What is shaping up is an informal (but very real)
Russian-Turkish-Iranian regional alliance against the Axis of Kindness:
USA-Israel-KSA. If that is what happens then the latter does not stand a
chance to prevail.
Third,
even though the Kurds are outraged and are now whining about the
Russian “betrayal” – they will come to realize that they did it to
themselves and that their best chance for freedom and prosperity is to
work with the Russians. That means that the Russians will be able to
achieve with, and for, the Kurds what the USA could not. Yet another
very nice side-benefit for Russia.
Fourth,
Syria, Iran and Turkey now realize a simple thing: only Russia stands
between the crazy US-Israeli plans for the region and them. Absent
Russia, there is nothing stopping the AngloZionist from re-igniting the
“good terrorists” and the Kurds and use them against every one of them.
Be
it as it may, having the USA and Israel shoot themselves in the leg and
watch them bleed is not enough. To really capitalize on this situation
the Russians need to also achieve a number of goals:
First,
they need to stop the Turks before this all turns into a major and
protracted conflict. Since Tillerson “greenlighted” a 30km “safe zone”,
this is probably what Erdogan told Trump over the phone and that, in
turn, is probably what the Russians and the Turks agreed upon. So,
hopefully, this should not be too hard to achieve.
Second,
the Russians need to talk to the Kurds and offer them the same deal
again: large autonomy inside Syria in exchange for peace and prosperity.
The Kurds are not exactly the easiest people to talk to, but since
there is really no other option, my guess is that as soon as they stop
hallucinating about the US going to war with Turkey on their behalf they
will have to sit down and negotiate the deal. Likewise, the Russians
will have to sell the very same deal to Damascus which, frankly, is in
no position to reject it.
Third,
Russia has neither the desire nor the means to constantly deal with
violent flare-ups in the Middle-East. If the Empire desperately needs
wars to survive, Russia desperately needs peace. In practical terms this
means that the Russians must work with the Iranians, the Turks, the
Syrians to secure a regional security framework which would be
guaranteed and, if needed, enforced by all parties. And yes, the next
logical step will be to approach Israel and the KSA and give them
security guarantees in exchange for their assurances to stop creating
chaos and wars on behalf of the USA. I know, I will get a lot of flak
for saying this, but there *are* people in Israel and, possibly, Saudi
Arabia who also understand the difference between “bad” and “worse”.
Heed my words: as soon as the Israelis and the Saudis realize that Uncle
Sam can’t do much for them either, they will suddenly become much more
open to meaningful negotiations. Still, whether these rational minds
will be sufficient to deal with the rabid ideologues I frankly don’t
know. But it is worth trying for sure.
Conclusion
The
Trump Administration’s “strategy” (I am being very kind here) is to
stir up as many conflicts in as many places of our planet as possible.
The Empire thrives only on chaos and violence. The Russian response is
the exact opposite: to try as best can be to stop wars, defuse conflicts
and create, if not peace, at least a situation of non-violence. Simply
put: peace anywhere is the biggest danger to the AngloZionist Empire
whose entire structure is predicated on eternal wars. The total and
abject failure of all US plans for Syria (depending on how you count we
are at “plan C” or even “plan D”) is a strong indicator of how weak and
totally dysfunctional the AngloZionist Empire has become. But ‘weak’ is a
relative term while ‘dysfunctional’ does not imply ‘harmless’. The
current lack of brains at the top, while very good in some ways,
is also potentially very dangerous. I am in particular worried about
what appears to be a total absence of real military men (officers in
touch with reality) around the President. Remember how Admiral Fallon
once referred to General Petraeus as “an ass-kissing little chickenshit“?
This also fully applies to the entire gang of generals around Trump –
all of them are the kind of men real officers like Fallon would, in this
words, “hate”. As for State, I will just say this: I don’t expect much
from a man who could not even handle Nikki Haley, nevermind Erdogan.
Remember
how the USA ignited the Ukraine to punish the Russians for their
thwarting of the planned US attack on Syria? Well, the very same Ukraine
has recently passed a law abolishing the “anti-terrorist operation” in
the Donbass and declaring the Donbass “occupied territory”. Under Ukie
law, Russia is now officially an “aggressor state”. This means that the
Ukronazis have now basically rejected the Minsk Agreements and are in a
quasi-open state of war with Russia. The chances of a full-scale
Ukronazi attack on the Donbass are now even higher then before,
especially before or during the soccer World Cup in Moscow this summer
(remember Saakashvili?). Having been ridiculed (again) with their Border
Security Force in Syria, the US Americans will now seek a place to take
revenge on the evil Russkies and this place will most likely be the
Ukraine. And we can always count the Israelis to find a pretext to
continue to murder Palestinians and bomb Syria. As for the Saudis, they
appear to be temporarily busy fighting each other. So unless the Empire
does something really crazy, the only place it can lash out with little
to lose (for itself) is the eastern Ukraine. The Novorussians understand
that. May God help them.
The Saker
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