Forwarded this email? Subscribe here for more VA data shows COVID boosters increased risk of hospitalization and flu shots don't work My updated analysis of VA hospitalization data shows your first shot might reduce your risk of hospitalization, the second shot did nothing, and the booster made things worse. Flu shots did nothing. Steve Kirsch Oct 22   READ IN APP   Executive summary In my earlier article, VA study published in JAMA shows that COVID *and* flu shots don't reduce your risk of hospitalization, I showed how you could analyze the VA hospitalization data for COVID vs. flu, and by using each disease as a control for the other disease, show that neither vaccine worked. It uses a very simple principle: if a vaccine works, the vaccinated should be hospitalized at a lower rate than the rate they’d be hospitalized for an unrelated respiratory virus. Today, I did a Fisher exact test on the propensity-score adjusted data in the Xie paper and the results were revealing: If you got just one COVID shot, there was a 10% reduction in hospitalization If you got 2 COVID shots, there was no additional benefit If you got the booster, your benefit diminished to just a 3% reduction in hospitalization risk so it reversed the benefit you got earlier! If you got a flu shot, there was basically no benefit whatsoever in terms of hospitalization reduction (a 1.8% benefit) None of the above results were statistically significant. Bottom line: The first shot might have had a narrow benefit, but the second and third shots can’t be justified at all. We shouldn’t be giving these shots unless the benefits outweigh the risks. Previous articles have pointed out that the shots increased infection risk and increased the case fatality rate, and that’s before we even consider the vaccine-caused increase in non-COVID all-cause mortality. So this new information doesn’t change anything: you shouldn’t get the shots at all. Here are the calculations These calculations use the numbers in the Xie paper in the Table (propensity matched columns): Statistics for dose 1 only = 421 103 8575 2300 8996 2403 11399 One-sided p-value 0.2237717093928315 Two-sided p-value 0.44280492830474005 Max likelihood estimate of the Odds ratio= 1.0963145028647212 Traditional OR= 1.0963231339692603 95% Confidence Interval(low=0.8772108708050249, high=1.3803252322420094) Statistics for primary series benefit = 1985 492 7011 1911 8996 2403 11399 One-sided p-value 0.04870272401590869 Two-sided p-value 0.09486104178727314 Max likelihood estimate of the Odds ratio= 1.0996957927882844 Traditional OR= 1.0997048192561514 95% Confidence Interval(low=0.9832366472918711, high=1.2313456876988418) Statistics for BOOSTER benefit = 4986 1311 4010 1092 8996 2403 11399 One-sided p-value 0.23051618753054964 Two-sided p-value 0.459976483563565 Max likelihood estimate of the Odds ratio= 1.0356821969194545 Traditional OR= 1.0356853860771413 95% Confidence Interval(low=0.9450890735997887, high=1.1348349873690617) Statistics for INFLUENZA vaccine = 5743 1524 3253 879 8996 2403 11399 One-sided p-value 0.3607081043412625 Two-sided p-value 0.7024320102170791 Max likelihood estimate of the Odds ratio= 1.0182583278503825 Traditional OR= 1.0182599466028934 95% Confidence Interval(low=0.9261636742375395, high=1.1191195195638168) Summary I’ve been doing this for more than 3 years now, and a slightly reduced hospitalization risk after the first shot is the first and only benefit from vaccination that I’ve seen that might be credible. However, part of the benefit may be due to selection bias because if you got the first shots and didn’t die from it, you are less likely to be hospitalized from COVID because you have a stronger immune system. The VA data shows additional COVID shots are not beneficial. The data again confirms that the influenza vaccine doesn’t work at all. Finally, even if the small hospitalization benefit of the first COVID shot was statistically significant, the effect size is too small to be meaningful, especially in light of the fact that the COVID CFR which didn’t drop after the vaccine rolled out and that one in 6 people reported COVID vaccine adverse events in a recent public poll in Germany. Bottom line: The data keeps telling us that the COVID shots are nonsensical and should be immediately halted, but health authorities aren’t paying attention to the data. Share You're currently a free subscriber to Steve Kirsch's newsletter. For the full experience, upgrade your subscription. Upgrade to paid   Like Comment Restack   © 2024 Steve Kirsch 548 Market Street PMB 72296, San Francisco, CA 94104 Unsubscribe