Study Finds SARS-CoV-2 Much Less Infectious After 20 Minutes in Air
A new study conducted by the University of Bristol Aerosol Research Centre in the United Kingdom found that the SARS-CoV-2 virus loses 90 percent of its virulence within 20 minutes after being exhaled into the air. Further, researchers concluded that the virus loses 50 percent of its ability to spread after only 10 minutes of being airborne in an average office setting.1 2 3 4 5
The lead researcher on the Bristol study, professor of chemistry Jonathan Reid, DPhil, said:
People have been focused on poorly ventilated spaces and thinking about airborne transmission over meters or across a room. I am not saying that doesn’t happen, but I think still, the greatest risk of exposure is when you are close to someone. When you move further away, not only is the aerosol diluted down, there are also less infections by this because the viruses lost infectivity (as a result of time).1 2
“It means that if I’m meeting friends for lunch in a pub today, the primary [risk] is likely to be me transmitting it to my friends, or my friends transmitting it to me, rather than it being transmitted from someone on the other side of the room,” Dr. Reid said.2 3 6 “When you move further away, not only is the aerosol diluted down, there’s also less infectious virus because the virus has lost infectivity [as a result of time].”4
Humidity in Air Raises Infection Risk
According to the Bristol study, which has yet to be peer-reviewed, the SARS-CoV-2 virus’s level of infectiousness also depends on the degree of humidity in the air. In an environment of less than 50 percent humidity, the virus loses its ability to infect within five to 10 seconds. At 90 percent humidity, about 52 percent of the virus remains active in the air after five minutes, dropping to 10 percent after 20 minutes. 1 2 4 5
An article in The Guardian reported that “as the viral particles leave the relatively moist and carbon dioxide-rich conditions of the lungs, they rapidly lose water and dry out, while the transition to lower levels of carbon dioxide is associated with a rapid increase in pH (“potential of hydrogen”).” Apparently, both factors contribute to disrupting SARS-CoV-2’s ability to infect people. But the speed at which the viral particles dry out depends on the relative humidity of the environment.2
SARS-CoV-2 is Active in Air and on Surfaces in Different Amounts for Different Time Periods
Previous studies done on SARS-CoV-2 concluded that the virus could remain active in the air for hours.6 7 8 One study by the U.S. National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) last year found the virus could remain active in the air for up to three hours, but that by the third hour it had lost 87.5 percent of its ability to infect other people.9
Another study published in the New England Journal of Medicine by researchers from the Johns Hopkins School of Medicine in 2020 also detected the virus in the air for three hours.10
Based on both the NIH and Johns Hopkins studies (and other studies), the greater chance of being infected by the SARS-CoV-2 virus comes through contact via surfaces, rather than air. NIH and Johns Hopkins researchers found that the virus could remain active on cardboard for 24 hours and on plastic and stainless steel for up to three days.9 Professor of cell biology Carolyn Machamer, PhD of Johns Hopkins, however, noted:
What’s getting a lot of press and is presented out of context is that the virus can last on plastic for 72 hours—which sounds really scary. But what’s more important is the amount of the virus that remains. It’s less than 0.1% of the starting virus material. Infection is theoretically possible but unlikely at the levels remaining after a few days. People need to know this.10
The Bristol study looked at three SARS-CoV-2 variants, including Alpha. Researchers plan to start experiments on the Omicron variant during the next few weeks.1 3 5
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