Perspectives on the Pandemic | Dr. John Ioannidis
Published April 27, 2020 | Best in Video
We realized that the number of infected people is somewhere between
50 and 85 times more, compared to what we thought… compared to what had
been documented. Immediately, that means that the infection fatality
rate… the probability of dying if you are infected [with coronavirus]
diminishes by 50 to 85 fold because the denominator in the calculation
becomes 50 to 85 fold bigger. If you take these numbers into account,
they suggest that the infection fatality rate for this new
coronavirus is likely to be in the same ballpark as seasonal influenza. Of course, there is still a little bit of uncertainty about the exact number, but it’s clearly very different compared to the original thoughts or speculation or preliminary data that suggested a much much higher infection fatality rate.
coronavirus is likely to be in the same ballpark as seasonal influenza. Of course, there is still a little bit of uncertainty about the exact number, but it’s clearly very different compared to the original thoughts or speculation or preliminary data that suggested a much much higher infection fatality rate.
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