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An American Affidavit

Friday, April 10, 2020

US Coronavirus Model Drops Predicted Deaths Down To Approximately 60,000 People

US Coronavirus Model Drops Predicted Deaths Down To Approximately 60,000 People

In Brief

  • The Facts:The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, a research organization at the University of Washington, have revised their prediction based on updated data to approximately 60,000 deaths in the United States as a result of the new coronavirus.
  • Reflect On:Were the measures that governments took necessary? Should they have the ability and power to
    take away our rights and freedoms, and in some cases, our ability to go outside?
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According the  Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), there were approximately 45 million cases of the flu in the United States during the 2017-2018 influenza season, which resulted in nearly one million flu-associated hospitalizations and an estimated total of 61,000 deaths associated with the flu. It begs the question, did this overwhelm our hospitals that year? When it comes to the new coronavirus, the White House recently expressed that the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), a research organization at the University of Washington, have revised their prediction based on updated data to approximately 60,000 deaths in the United States as a result of the new corona virus, out of 327,000,000 Americans.
Keep in mind, this is not a comparison to the flu, at all, this is simply a prediction of numbers. If  the coronavirus ends up killing just as many people as the flu in the United States, that still doesn’t mean it’s the same.
This is encouraging, given that just last week, the White House was suggesting that up to 200,000 American citizens will die from the new coronavirus. The briefing included projections between 100,000 and 200,000 as a possible best-case scenario but obviously, this isn’t the case anymore. It’s also a dramatic drop from predictions that were ranging in the millions when the virus first started to make its way around the globe, causing fear, panic and hysteria, something many people are still experiencing today as a result of, I would say, media.
Another common theme that’s floating around right now is when people can take antibody tests, for those who desire to do so, because as you probably already know, the new coronavirus can still be present in someone who is asymptomatic. This has many experts suggesting that the total infection rate in the United States and globally is most probably significantly higher than what the numbers are showing. This means that the final death rate will most likely be much lower than what is and will be reported.
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Experts in the field have suggested that an accurate death rate will most likely match that of the common seasonal flu.  As soon as the World Health Organization put out a case fatality rate of 3.4% for the new coronavirus, multiple academics jumped in and criticized the projection. Three medical professors from Stanford University were among the first to do so. According to an article recently published in the New England Journal of Medicine by Dr. Anthony S. Fauci, Dr. H. Clifford Lane, and Dr. Robert R. Redfield,  the case fatality rate may be less than one percent, and the clinical consequences of Covid-19 may be more similar to that of a severe seasonal influenza. You can read more about that and access that specific article, here.
Not only has the infection rate come under scrutiny, but so has the death rate. There is ample evidence suggesting that the number of deaths attributed to the new coronavirus have not actually come as a direct result of the coronavirus, that coronavirus deaths may actually be miscalculated.  I recently published an article about going into the evidence and providing more detail on that, you can read it here if interested.
So, at the end of the day, we may be looking at a higher infection rate, and a lower death rate than what the numbers show. This begs the question, are the actions multiple governments have taken at all justified?  Dr. Sucharit Bhakdi, a specialist in microbiology and one of the most cited research scientists in German history recently shared his thoughts on the measures that are being taken to combat the new coronavirus. He called them “draconian” and unnecessary, and explained why, to him, they don’t make any sense at all. You can read more about that and watch his video here.
It does make you think, doesn’t it? It’s even more of a head scratcher when people are being censored and deemed as ‘false news’ for simply sharing their opinion, like Dr. Ron Paul, who recently stated,
People should ask themselves whether this coronavirus “pandemic” could be a big hoax, with the actual danger of the disease massively exaggerated by those who seek to profit – financially or politically – from the ensuing panic.
That is not to say the disease is harmless. Without question people will die from coronavirus. Those in vulnerable categories should take precautions to limit their risk of exposure. But we have seen this movie before. Government over-hypes a threat as an excuse to grab more of our freedoms. When the “threat” is over, however, they never give us our freedoms back. (source)
One more thing that I must mention is with regards to the treatment. Events like the coronavirus are a great way to see what governments really care about. This was even more evident not only by the information above, but by the fact that successful treatments were not, and are not receiving much attention from the mainstream media. We have written about that in depth as well, you can see a few examples here, as well as here if you desire more information about that and what specific treatments we are talking about.
Meanwhile, Bill Gates can come on television and state that things won’t go back to normal until a vaccine has reached the entire world. But is this even true?
It begs the question, do our authorities and health care system/pharmaceutical companies actually prioritize our health? Or are they simply in it to turn a profit, among other things? Are our systems that surround us actually designed with the intention to protect us, and treat us? Or is something else going on here?
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Are events like these simply used, created, heightened and capitalized on to usher in ‘bigger brother?’ A heightened national security state, one where our rights and freedoms are continually stripped from us, while many agree with the justification to do so as a result of massive propaganda? Similar to what we’ve seen with “the war on terror?”
These are just questions, and as time continues to pass they become more and more relevant, which is why asking these questions has now come under intense scrutiny.

The Bigger Picture

I believe events like this coronavirus pandemic, and others like 9/11 for example, are part of humanities natural evolution. I believe they are happening more frequently now in order to ‘wake up’ even more people, because that’s just what they do. At the end of the day, this pandemic will serve humanity more so than it hurts it, because when it comes down to it, the number of deaths and infections as a result of the new coronavirus won’t be to different from all of the other coronaviruses in circulation, which in itself will make people question just what has happened here. Scientists were able to see it early on, and there will be more publications like the paper recently published in The International Journal of Antimicrobial Agents titled “SARS-CoV-2: fear versus data which stated  “that the problem of SARS-CoV-2 is probably being overestimated.” (source) The next question is, was the problem being over-estimated purposefully so a powerful group of people could propose the solution? This kind of thinking is far from a conspiracy theory.
At the end of the day, events like this make us question whether this is really the type of human experience we want to participate in? Why do we continue electing people? Why do we believe that powerful corporations will take care of our health? Why do we believe that one person or group of people can change the world? Why do we keep putting our power in the hands of the few and expecting them to make some sort of significant change on the planet? Why do we believe that electing a certain president will ever solve the real problems humanity faces today? Why are we all still participating and agreeing? Why do we constantly look to our governments for answers and solutions? Why do we continue to believe them? And why are we so easily manipulated and controlled to the point where mainstream media can control our thoughts, perception and emotions about certain events over, and over and over? Is it getting to a point where it’s a “do what we say” or else, type of existence, under the guise that those instructions are necessary for the greater good?
Manipulation and deception can only continue as long as we allow it, and the manipulation and deception we’ve faced with regards to this ‘pandemic’ again, will only serve and help more people question our current paradigm.


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